Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.008184 0.009627 0.011359 0.013626 0.016565 0.020322 0.025618
2025-07-06 0.006485 0.008248 0.010621 0.014171 0.019583 0.027982 0.043101
2025-07-13 0.005690 0.007638 0.010482 0.015189 0.023377 0.038485 0.073318
2025-07-20 0.005047 0.007045 0.010142 0.015687 0.026439 0.049589 0.118152
2025-07-27 0.004496 0.006463 0.009655 0.015737 0.028646 0.060553 0.182372
2025-08-03 0.004080 0.006013 0.009275 0.015842 0.030997 0.073928 0.292286
2025-08-10 0.003662 0.005492 0.008672 0.015338 0.031735 0.083626 0.428387
2025-08-17 0.003268 0.004963 0.007965 0.014446 0.031152 0.088728 0.571462
2025-08-24 0.002960 0.004545 0.007405 0.013749 0.030847 0.094969 0.792112
2025-08-31 0.002806 0.004382 0.007303 0.014053 0.033558 0.117642 1.648230
2025-09-07 0.002602 0.004105 0.006940 0.013664 0.033999 0.130575 2.887819
2025-09-14 0.002404 0.003822 0.006532 0.013087 0.033622 0.139051 4.840881
2025-09-21 0.002272 0.003664 0.006388 0.013229 0.036174 0.174430 23.897457
2025-09-28 0.002179 0.003571 0.006372 0.013724 0.040532 0.240651 920577.085463
2025-10-05 0.002128 0.003553 0.006512 0.014696 0.047782 0.381082 NaN
2025-10-12 0.002046 0.003464 0.006482 0.015172 0.053389 0.563138 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001946 0.003329 0.006325 0.015219 0.056996 0.771599 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001858 0.003211 0.006194 0.015320 0.061170 1.108197 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001749 0.003039 0.005908 0.014839 0.061444 1.338753 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001630 0.002838 0.005536 0.013986 0.058745 1.382021 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001530 0.002671 0.005232 0.013319 0.057004 1.489448 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001485 0.002617 0.005200 0.013610 0.062437 2.525396 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001412 0.002499 0.004997 0.013237 0.062633 3.172168 NaN